Alert Types & Explanations
Comprehensive guide to all alert types in the Bitcoin Risk Dashboard
Cycle Adjustment Alerts
cycle_adjustmentAlerts for significant long-term cycle adjustments in the G-Score calculation
Alert Thresholds:
- • Medium: ±5-9 points
- • High: ±10+ points
What it means:
Cycle adjustments reflect long-term market cycles and power-law trends. Positive adjustments indicate upward cycle pressure, while negative adjustments suggest downward cycle pressure.
Recommended action:
Monitor trend changes and consider cycle-based positioning adjustments.
Spike Adjustment Alerts
spike_adjustmentAlerts for significant short-term volatility spike adjustments
Alert Thresholds:
- • Medium: ±3-5 points
- • High: ±6+ points
What it means:
Spike adjustments capture short-term price volatility relative to recent volatility. High positive spikes indicate unusual upward volatility, while negative spikes suggest unusual downward volatility.
Recommended action:
Monitor price action and volatility patterns for potential trend changes.
50-Week SMA Warning Alerts
sma50w_warningAlerts when Bitcoin closes below 50-week SMA for multiple consecutive weeks
Alert Thresholds:
- • Medium: 2-3 weeks below
- • High: 4+ weeks below
What it means:
The 50-week SMA is a critical long-term trend indicator. Historically, when Bitcoin closes below the 50W SMA for 2+ consecutive weeks, it often signals the end of a bull market cycle.
Recommended action:
Consider reducing risk exposure and monitoring for potential trend reversal.
ETF Zero Cross Alerts
etf_zero_crossAlerts when Bitcoin ETF flows cross zero (inflows to outflows or vice versa)
Alert Thresholds:
- • Medium: Any zero cross
- • High: Large magnitude crosses
What it means:
ETF flow zero crosses indicate shifts in institutional sentiment. Positive crosses (outflows to inflows) suggest increasing institutional interest, while negative crosses indicate institutional selling pressure.
Recommended action:
Monitor institutional sentiment and flow trends for market direction insights.
Risk Band Change Alerts
band_changeAlerts when the G-Score moves between different risk bands
Alert Thresholds:
- • Medium: Any band change
- • High: Multi-band changes
What it means:
Risk band changes indicate significant shifts in overall market risk assessment. Moving to higher risk bands suggests increasing market risk, while moving to lower risk bands indicates decreasing risk.
Recommended action:
Review portfolio positioning and risk management strategies based on new risk band.
Factor Staleness Alerts
factor_stalenessAlerts when individual risk factors become stale due to data issues
Alert Thresholds:
- • Medium: Factor becomes stale
- • High: Multiple factors stale
What it means:
Factor staleness occurs when data sources fail or become unavailable. Stale factors are excluded from G-Score calculation, potentially affecting accuracy.
Recommended action:
Monitor data quality and consider the impact of stale factors on G-Score reliability.
Factor Change Alerts
factor_changeAlerts when individual risk factors change significantly between runs
Alert Thresholds:
- • Medium: ±10-19 points change
- • High: ±20+ points change
What it means:
Factor changes indicate significant shifts in underlying market conditions. Large changes may signal important market developments or data quality issues.
Recommended action:
Review factor details and consider implications for market outlook and G-Score reliability.
Alert System Overview
How Alerts Work
- • Alerts are generated automatically during the daily ETL process
- • Each alert type has specific thresholds for medium and high severity
- • Alerts are stored for 30 days and displayed in chronological order
- • The AlertBell icon shows the total number of active alerts
Alert Management
- • Use the AlertBell to view recent alerts and access the alerts page
- • Filter alerts by type, severity, and date range
- • Configure alert settings and notifications
- • Export alert data for further analysis