Disclaimer

The GhostGauge Bitcoin Risk Dashboard is provided for informational and educational purposes only. This dashboard is not intended as investment advice, financial advice, or any other type of advice. The information presented should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency or other financial instrument.

No Warranties

We make no warranties, express or implied, regarding the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information provided. The dashboard and its data are provided "as is" without any guarantee of performance or results.

Data Sources

Data sources may be delayed, incomplete, or contain errors. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Users should verify information independently before making any financial decisions.

Production v1.2.0 changes how four factors treat evidence. Stablecoin growth uses elapsed horizons and a dated calibration, not the older undated baseline. Net Liquidity joins native Wednesday WALCL and WTREGEN with the official Wednesday-ending reverse-repo average. Social is unavailable unless search and momentum are both observed. Term inclusion checks raw-provider funding freshness and the scored spot window separately. The completed scored cutoff and the binding lastUpdated are different times: lastUpdated is the earliest of the scored funding, stress, and spot observations. A factor that fails those rules is left out of the composite, and that omission fails publication rather than being filled with a neutral value.

Risk Warning

Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk, including the potential for total loss. The risk scoring methodology is experimental and should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Always consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.

Research & Historical Evidence

GhostGauge's historical research should not be read as proof of predictive accuracy. Historical H7 work is descriptive risk-discrimination/ranking research, not forecasting or model validation. As of September 2026, H8 is an ongoing prospective evaluation and no H8 performance conclusion is authorized.

Historical G-Score artifacts have differing provenance, and diagnostic statistics may use vintages that differ from the current dashboard snapshot.

Source availability and freshness can affect whether a factor is included or excluded from a production score. Freshness means the input satisfies the configured source-cadence contract; it does not mean the input is validated or correct.

Methodology

For detailed information about our risk scoring methodology, data sources, and calculation methods, please see our Methodology page.