Alert History
Historical record of significant market events and risk band changes
Recent Alerts
Showing latest 50 alerts from the alert log
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Alert Methodology
🔄 Cycle Adjustment Alerts
Monitors long-term cycle adjustments in the G-Score calculation. Triggers when cycle adjustments exceed ±5 points (medium) or ±10 points (high). These adjustments reflect power-law trends and long-term market cycles, with positive adjustments indicating upward cycle pressure.
⚡ Spike Adjustment Alerts
Detects significant short-term volatility spike adjustments. Triggers when spike adjustments exceed ±3 points (medium) or ±6 points (high). These capture unusual price volatility relative to recent volatility patterns, indicating potential trend changes.
📊 50-Week SMA Warning Alerts
Monitors Bitcoin's position relative to the 50-week Simple Moving Average. Triggers when Bitcoin closes below the 50W SMA for 2+ consecutive weeks (medium) or 4+ weeks (high). Historically, this signals potential bull market end and trend reversal.
💰 ETF Zero-Cross Detection
Monitors the 21-day sum of ETF flows and detects when it crosses zero (positive to negative or vice versa). Uses a smart deadband to avoid noise: max(round(0.02 × std), 1000)where std is calculated over the last 180 days.
🎯 Risk Band Changes
Tracks changes in the overall risk band (Aggressive Buying, Hold & Wait, High Risk, etc.) by comparing yesterday's band from history.csv with today's band from latest.json.
⚠️ Factor Staleness Alerts
Monitors individual risk factors for data staleness. Triggers when factors become stale due to data source failures or API issues. Stale factors are excluded from G-Score calculation, potentially affecting accuracy.
System Features
Idempotence: Alerts are only generated once per day per type. The system maintains a log of all alerts and skips duplicate entries to prevent spam.
Severity Levels: Medium (threshold met) and High (significant threshold exceeded).
Data Retention: Alerts are stored for 30 days and displayed in chronological order.